Despite state efforts to reverse it, Russia’s birth rate declines. What do Russians believe is the cause?
Russia’s birth rate has been declining significantly. The fertility rate of 1.41 children per woman in 2024 is below the replacement rate of 2.1. The Russian government has implemented initiatives to address the falling birth rate, includin

Russia’s birth rate has been declining significantly. The fertility rate of 1.41 children per woman in 2024 is below the replacement rate of 2.1.
The Russian government has implemented initiatives to address the falling birth rate, including promoting “family values” and restricting access to abortion. However, experts like demographer Alexey Raksha remain sceptical about the effectiveness of these measures.
The decline in birth rate is attributed to various factors, including a high death rate, brain drain and economic instability, with some Russians citing low wages, high cost of living and lack of security as reasons for not having children.
What none of them mention is the possible effects of covid injections. Could these also be contributing?
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Declining Birth Rate
Russia’s birth rate has been declining significantly over the past few decades. According to data from Macrotrends, the birth rate in Russia has been decreasing year after year, with the current rate in 2025 being 10.9 births per 1000 people, a 1.98% decline from 2024.
This trend is part of a broader demographic crisis in Russia, where the total fertility rate in 2024 was estimated to be 1.41 children born per woman, which is below the replacement rate of 2.1.
The natural population has been declining, with the number of deaths exceeding the number of births since 1992, and again since 2016. The situation has worsened due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which has led to high military fatalities and a brain drain caused by Western sanctions and boycotts. Additionally, the country’s death rate has been nearly double the birth rate in recent years.
To address this issue, the Russian government has implemented various initiatives, such as promoting “family values” in schools and restricting access to abortion. President Vladimir Putin has also launched a new council aiming to bolster a 2017 social policy designed to protect children and families.
Despite these efforts, experts remain sceptical about the effectiveness of these measures. Demographer Alexey Raksha believes that the UN’s forecast for Russia’s population in 2100 is overly optimistic, predicting that the population could fall below 100 million if nothing changes.
Further reading:
- Putin Launches Plan To Tackle Russia’s Sinking Birth Rate, Newsweek, 10 December 2024
- Russia is putting pressure on women to boost the birth rate — but demographers say the main problem is too many people dying, Meduza, 22 October 2024
Last year, Andrei Kormukhin, leader of the movement ‘Forty Forties’ and chairman of the party of Russian traditionalists ‘For the family!’, pointed out that Russia’s demography project had spent 4.5 million rubles in six years to increase the birth rate by one decimal from 1.6 to 1.7 by 2024. The result? The birth rate fell to 1.31.
In a long Twitter thread, Beefeater described how Russia is weaponising demographics to “secure Putin’s empire.”
The gist of Beefeater’s argument is that since annexing Crimea, which added 2.4 million people to Russia’s population, Russia has been employing strategies to change the demographic composition of Crimea, including forced deportations, persecutions and repressions, leading to a mass departure of Ukrainians, while promoting the in-migration of Russian citizens to the peninsula. Estimates suggest between 800,000 to 1 million Russians migrated into the peninsula, while also forcing Ukrainians and Crimean Tatars to leave. If a similar number of Ukrainians have left Crimea, then this would reduce Russia’s population but not necessarily the birth rate.
Another point Beefeater raises is: “After the February 2022 invasion provoked a large exodus of Russians of all ages, the “partial” mobilisation conducted in September 2022 resulted in tens of thousands more, primarily young men, leaving the country … No one has precise data … If seven hundred thousand Russians now registered as living in Dubai is any indication, the émigrés may number far more than one million.” An exodus of young men could have an impact on birth rates in the years that follow as fewer young women can find a partner to marry and have children with.
After reading Beefeater’s thread it becomes clear that immigration-emigration could have a noticeable effect on population levels in Russia. This could have a knock-on effect on birth rates now and in the future as people are more likely to have children when they feel settled and secure.
You can read Beefeater’s thread on the Threadreader App HERE. It should be noted that Beefeater displays both the British and Ukrainian flags on his/her profile. The British flag is because the profile has noted Bletchley Park as its location. We can only guess that displaying the Ukrainian flag is a sign of activism or a Ukrainian living in the UK. Its worth keeping in mind possible bias resulting from an activist mindset when reading the thread.
Note: There is a typographical error in the first line of the thread. Beefeater wrote, “Weaponising Demographics – a deep dive into the democratic time-bomb in Russia.” At the end of the thread Beefeater corrected him/herself by saying, “Typo correction – should read “demographic”, not “democratic.”
Russians Speak for Themselves
Looking at statistics and policies can give an overview of some of the causes of the decline in birth rates. But the best source of information is the Russian people themselves.
In the video below, KGB Detected walked the streets to find out what Russians think. KGB Detected is a Russian who lives in Russia. “I make reaction videos about politics related to Russia, news and other content connected to Putin’s dictatorship. That’s why I’m wearing a mask,” he says.
In the description section under his video he states, “Russia has vast lands, endless resources … and a collapsing birth rate. The government demands more babies but who’s supposed to raise them – on what salaries, in what homes and for what future?
“In this video, we hit the streets to ask Russians why they’re not having children. Spoiler: [it] turns out, patriotism doesn’t pay the bills. Wages are shrinking, but the cost of living is skyrocketing. The state offers ‘support’ – which translates to empty slogans and moral lectures. And while officials demand higher birth rates, they send the existing generation to war.”
Could Covid Injections Be a Factor?
One of the ladies interviewed in the video above mentioned that there’s “no birth rate” because “everyone’s getting sick, they can’t conceive or the men are having problems.” She believed this was because of “the environment and the food.”
In the West, we are acutely aware of the negative effect covid injections have on fertility. But in Russia, this doesn’t seem to be on people’s minds. Perhaps it’s a case of “it depends who you ask”?
Sputnik V, the covid vaccine developed by the Gamaleya Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology in Russia, uses two recombinant adenoviruses as vectors to deliver the genetic code for recipients’ cells to make the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein. The technology is similar to that used by the AstraZeneca covid injections.
In December 2020, before the first vaccination campaign began, Dr. Mike Yeadon and Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg filed a petition with the European Medicines Agency to halt the covid injection trials so that safety issues could be addressed. One of their concerns was infertility in women.
“The vaccinations are expected to produce antibodies against spike proteins of SARS-CoV-2. However, spike proteins also contain syncytin-homologous proteins, which are essential for the formation of the placenta in mammals such as humans. It must be absolutely ruled out that a vaccine against SARS-CoV-2 could trigger an immune reaction against syncytin-1, as otherwise infertility of indefinite duration could result in vaccinated women,” they wrote.
During an interview with Maria Zeee in 2022, Professor Delores Cahill explained the spike protein in covid injections seems to attack the lining and the sheath of the uterus potentially causing infertility. Their plan is to have a huge increase in infertility during this century, she said, “their aim is to collapse the number of people” by the end of the century.
And, if remarks made last year on Russian state-owned television by the “father of Russia’s covid vaccine Sputnik V” are anything to go by, Russians were subjected to similar propaganda and coercion as in the West. In 2021, as we saw in the West, the Russian Ministry of Health urged pregnant women to get the injection, saying it would contribute to a more comfortable and safe pregnancy.
Read more: Covid Russia: It’s not the government that’s saving Russians, it is the people saving themselves
Apart from concerns about the spike protein, other safety issues have been raised. According to Argentine researchers, Sputnik V contains undeclared heavy metals as do other major covid “vaccine” brands.
Russia’s mass covid vaccination programme began on 5 December 2020 and more people died in 2021 than in any year since World War II. There were at least 622,000 deaths above the 2019 norm. This was not due to war as the Russia-Ukraine war began in February 2022.
Could covid injections also be a causative factor in Russia’s declining birth rate as it has been elsewhere?
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References:
- https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/russia-tomorrow/a-russia-without-russians-putins-disastrous-demographics/
- https://www.macrotrends.net/global-metrics/countries/rus/russia/birth-rate
- https://fedpress.ru/article/3365231
- https://www.rand.org/pubs/issue_papers/IP162.html
- https://www.newsweek.com/putin-launches-plan-tackle-russias-sinking-birth-rate-1998494
- https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/10/22/russia-is-putting-pressure-on-women-to-boost-the-birth-rate-but-demographers-say-the-main-problem-is-too-many-people-dying
- https://x.com/NatalkaKyiv/status/1842636339025731783
- https://x.com/Beefeater_Fella/status/1823831487822880848
- https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1823831487822880848.html
- https://x.com/Beefeater_Fella
- https://www.patreon.com/kgbdetected
- https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/how-does-the-sputnik-v-covid-19-vaccine-work#What-is-a-viral-vector
- https://2020news.de/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/Wodarg_Yeadon_EMA_Petition_Pfizer_Trial_FINAL_01DEC2020_EN_unsigned_with_Exhibits.pdf
- https://expose-news.com/2021/10/14/vaccine-induced-infertility-and-birth-defects-taking-a-look-at-a-new-study-on-fertility-plus-pandemic-black-eyed-babies/
- https://expose-news.com/2022/11/06/agenda-21s-depopulation-and-undermining-society/
- https://expose-news.com/2024/06/21/the-father-of-sputnik-v-says-anti-vaxxers/
- https://rg.ru/2021/10/30/murashko-napomnil-beremennym-i-kormiashchim-o-vazhnosti-vakcinacii.html
- https://expose-news.com/2024/06/08/covid-russia-it-is-the-people-saving-themselves/
- https://expose-news.com/2024/10/18/argentine-researchers-identify-55-undeclared-chemicals/
- https://www.rferl.org/a/sputnik-v-vaccine/31133608.html/